When to use it

Use it when your industry or organisation is volatile and you want to benefit from shocks.

How to apply it
  1. List the ways your career depends on a single employer, skill or client.
  2. Reduce any single point of failure, for example by building savings or a second skill.
  3. Take small, low-cost bets such as side projects or short courses with large potential upside.
  4. Avoid commitments with large downside and limited upside.
  5. Review each quarter which bets to stop and which to expand.
Tip: Keep each experiment small enough that failure costs little; the value comes from many attempts.